Monday, February 4, 2008

Flyers Bracketology Edition II

Every two weeks I'll take a look at how the Flyers stand in the Eastern Conference.

The Flyers stand at 29-17-5, good for 63 points and a one point division lead over the Penguins, two over the Devils, and three over the Rangers. This has shaped up to be one of the most competitive divisions in recent memory.

The Flyers are third in the conference in points behind Ottawa and Montreal, but would receive the second seed as a division winner. They would face the Rangers in the first round of the playoffs who they are just 1-2-1 against this year.

The Flyers are 5-2 since the first edition of Flyers Bracketology on January 18th. They have wins over the Islanders, Penguins, Senators, Kings, and Ducks with losses to the Devils and Rangers.

I'm going to breakdown how they should finish in eight categories: how they will fare at home against each Eastern division, the road against each Eastern division, and home and road against the Western conference. Remember this whole bracketology is based on projections according to how the Flyers have performed thus far.

Home against Eastern Division: The Flyers have six remaining home games against Atlantic Division teams. Against their division, the Flyers are 8-7-1 this year. Following this trend the Flyers should go about 3-2-1. They should get seven points out of six games.

Home against the Northeast Division: They have four remaining game against Northeast Division teams. Against that division, the Flyers are 5-4-2. Following this trend, the Flyers should go 2-1-1 as they've struggled at homes at times. They should get five points out of four games.

Home against the Southeast Division: They have five remaining games against Southeast Division teams. Against that division, the Flyers are a very strong 10-2-2. Look for about a 3-1-1 record in those five games resulting in seven points.

Home against the Western Conference: The Flyers have just one game at home against Western teams after beating up one the Kings and Ducks. San Jose is the Flyer's remaining opponent at home. The Sharks are a good team, but I'll chalk this one up as a win for the Flyers. That means two points in one game.

Road against Atlantic Division: They Flyers travel to Atlantic Division foes nine times the rest of the year. The Flyers are just 3-4 on the road against the Atlantic Division this year. A 4-4-1 record is probably the best bet. They would record nine points in nine games.

Road against the Northeast Division: They Flyers are on the road five times against these teams. Their record suggests a 3-1-1 finish against them for seven points in five games.

Road against the Southeast Division: The Flyers only go south one more time this year. Look for that game to be a win. That means two points in one game.

Road against the West: The Flyers are done going west for the year.

In the Flyers remaining 31 games, they should approximately tally a 17-9-5 record which will score them 39 points. The Flyers would then finish with 102 points on the year.

The Rangers, Devils, and Penguins are all playing approximately at that pace. The four teams should finish within about five points of each other at the end of the year. 102 points should be enough to win this division, but the other three teams are all capable of getting hot the rest of the way and finishing with more than 102 points.

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